February 22, 2020

QB Shuffle: Derek Carr, Tom Brady aren’t going anywhere, but others will be

Let’s dispense with the Derek Carr-Tom Brady scenarios first and get down to the business of figuring out who might go where in what promises to be an active free agency period for quarterbacks.

Brady was reportedly a possibility for the Raiders were he to leave New England, according to a Super Bowl Sunday report by ESPN’s Adam Schefter. The same day he had a mysterious social media post that later turned out to be a commercial for the streaming service Hulu.

As for Carr, in some quarters he’ll be rumored to be on his way out up until the day he takes his first snap for the Las Vegas Raiders.

A look at Carr and Brady, as well as other quarterbacks scheduled for unrestricted free agency and a couple who are still under contract but could be headed elsewhere:

Derek Carr

Publicly and privately, Carr believes he’s headed to Las Vegas. My stance on this hasn’t wavered. When you sort through all the options, putting a better team around Carr would happen quicker than starting over with new quarterback, whether it be a veteran or a rookie.

That’s not to say Jon Gruden and Mike Mayock won’t consider other options, but the feeling here is they’ll wind up in the same place.

Carr has never played on team with a good defense. Even in 2016, the Raiders leaked like sieve en route to 12-4 but thrived with a plus-16 turnover margin that had an element of randomness to it. The whole balance and relatively safe passing game can work when you’ve got a defense. Carr hasn’t had that yet.

Gruden and Mayock do love draft picks however, especially after last year, and you have to allow for a team overwhelming the Raiders with an offer for Carr. It would be hard for a portion of the Raiders fan base to believe, but Carr would be a commodity given a contract that’s fairly reasonable by current standards.

Team to watch: Indianapolis. Would be a clear upgrade over Jacoby Brissett as Colts embark on second year of life without Andrew Luck.

Tom Brady

So Brady takes less all these years to help the Patriots with their salary cap and now he wants $30 million or more in free agency when his skills are finally in decline?

The thought of the Raiders or anyone else putting out that kind of money for a 42-year-old quarterback who has played for one team and been entrenched in a system of football for his entire professional life would be a huge roll of the dice.

The likely scenario is he takes a look around and stays with Bill Belichick and Josh McDaniels. Although the tampering period for free agency begins March 16, a key date is March 8. On that day the Patriots take a $13.5 million salary cap charge for the acceleration of his previous signing bonus. If he’s not a Patriot by then, the chances of him leaving increase.

Team to watch: L.A. Chargers. Yes, they’d be trading one old quarterback for another, but this …read more

Source:: The Mercury News – Sports


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